Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 13.284506 14.963671 16.825205 19.051212 21.652695 24.611352 28.251501
2025-10-19 10.746547 12.843679 15.347665 18.589159 22.720166 27.871467 34.880970
2025-10-26 9.681077 12.059107 15.051549 19.155153 24.734100 32.201273 43.209854
2025-11-02 8.622380 11.080559 14.299936 18.916581 25.522760 34.887006 49.645653
2025-11-09 7.774330 10.250869 13.603728 18.596595 26.062030 37.188970 55.806469
2025-11-16 7.122272 9.604145 13.063630 18.391222 26.679804 39.617028 62.514229
2025-11-23 6.500223 8.932249 12.406889 17.913826 26.781517 41.196583 68.029264
2025-11-30 6.066714 8.488196 12.030717 17.804106 27.420761 43.699508 75.594189
2025-12-07 5.537807 7.857932 11.315800 17.077021 26.936589 44.183285 79.431688
2025-12-14 5.033259 7.226681 10.547188 16.184049 26.056581 43.822801 81.502640
2025-12-21 4.703373 6.839206 10.127532 15.824520 26.058782 45.064140 87.085446
2025-12-28 4.822649 7.156439 10.848376 17.459622 29.842195 54.075222 111.590696
2026-01-04 4.688841 7.070616 10.920764 18.001307 31.721941 59.767781 130.464456
2026-01-11 4.380203 6.679917 10.454298 17.527685 31.572535 61.201750 139.289961
2026-01-18 4.272127 6.611786 10.529181 18.056488 33.498276 67.499535 162.799187
2026-01-25 4.051754 6.339080 10.225784 17.834532 33.831235 70.222918 177.222021
2026-02-01 3.838850 6.065474 9.900298 17.536972 33.961336 72.484878 191.029786
2026-02-08 3.659086 5.838115 9.641453 17.345941 34.299640 75.320549 207.642373
2026-02-15 3.457850 5.561493 9.273959 16.901744 34.010756 76.508515 219.248908
2026-02-22 3.318004 5.385771 9.081358 16.799626 34.500465 79.843296 239.656045
2026-03-01 3.113265 5.083082 8.632159 16.122648 33.549424 79.095250 244.818844
2026-03-08 2.902368 4.759796 8.126962 15.290558 32.140807 76.865541 243.682319
2026-03-15 2.766608 4.567308 7.861746 14.955330 31.919840 78.018005 256.630565